How do weather forecasting models predict extreme weather?.

Weather forecasting models employ various methodologies to predict extreme weather events, including:

Key Facts

• Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) relies on mathematical equations based on physical laws of the atmosphere.
• Satellite data provides real-time observations of weather patterns and conditions.
• Ensemble forecasting uses multiple models to improve prediction reliability.
• Machine learning techniques enhance model accuracy by analyzing large datasets.

Examples or Use Cases

• NWP models successfully predicted Hurricane Dorian's path in 2019.
• The use of AI in forecasting helped predict the 2023 European heatwave.

FAQs

Q: How accurate are weather forecasts? A: Accuracy varies but is generally high for short-term forecasts and decreases for long-term predictions.

Q: What is the role of satellites in weather forecasting? A: Satellites provide critical data on temperature, humidity, and storm systems, essential for model inputs.